배장원, 이세훈, 문일철, 2013. 포격 상황에 대한 대규모 도시 대피 모델링 및 시뮬레이션. 한국시뮬레이션학회 추계학술대회, 김해, 11월 23일

Abstract:

Bombardments on an urban area are critical and realistic in some parts of the world. To be prepared for the strikes, planning a massive evacuation is challenging because of complexities in urban geographics and dynamics. If we limit the scope to the evacuation of vehicles on the road topologies, the individual evacuations of vehicles as well as the damaged network structure of roads creates the complex dynamics of conjestions. We utilize an agent-based model to estimate potential road conjestions and evacuation time to support the evacuation planning. We experimented the scenario by varying the bombing locations and the rerouting probabilities of agents. The virtual experiment results show what would be the most devastating attacks given the road topology and the calibrated population distribution in terms of the evacuation time, the number of damaged vehicles, and the number of blocked vehicles.